Coin Flip Probability Calculator
Calculate the probability of an exact number of heads in a run of coin flips.
Five heads in ten flips happens only a quarter of the time
Exactly five heads in ten flips has probability 252/1024, about 24.6% — and that is the single most likely outcome. The intuition that a fair coin should split evenly describes the long-run average, not any individual run, and mistaking the two is the root of the gambler's fallacy.
What this page needs from you
This page asks for number of flips, heads wanted and probability of heads. From those it returns probability of exactly that many, together with as a percentage, ways it can happen, total possible sequences and expected heads. Every figure updates as you type, and nothing you enter leaves your browser.
Significance is not the same as importance
With a large enough sample almost any difference becomes statistically significant, because significance measures how confident you can be that a difference exists at all — not how big it is or whether it matters. Effect size answers the second question, and the two should always be read together.
The formula
P(X = k) = C(n,k) · p^k · (1−p)^(n−k)
Every result on this page comes from this formula. Nothing is rounded until the final display, so figures match a spreadsheet to the cent.
How to use the Coin Flip Probability Calculator
- Fill in each field with your own figures — the defaults are only there as an example.
- The result updates as you type, so there is no button to press.
- Check the breakdown under the main result for the supporting numbers.
- Use the copy button to take the result with you, or share the link to reload the same inputs.
Coin Flip Probability Calculator — frequently asked questions
Is this coin flip probability calculator free to use?
Yes. Every calculator on the site is free, needs no sign-up, and runs entirely in your browser, so your figures never leave your device.
How accurate is the result?
The maths is exact for the formula shown on the page. Accuracy in the real world depends on your inputs and on assumptions the formula cannot see, so treat the output as a well-grounded estimate rather than a quote.
Can I use it on my phone?
Yes. The page is responsive, weighs a few kilobytes and works offline once loaded, so it behaves the same on a phone as on a desktop.
What people search for
This page answers each of these searches. They are the exact phrases visitors use to find the coin flip probability calculator.
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About this calculator
Written and reviewed by The Samsung Calculator editorial team. Every calculator is written against a published formula, reviewed against at least one independent reference implementation, and dated when it changes.
Last reviewed September 14, 2026 · Calculation runs client-side · No data collected · Report an error